Ron Lanton, Partner, Lanton Law, examines the legal and economic impacts of reciprocal tariffs on the pharma supply chain, including potential disruptions and increased drug costs.
PC: What are the legal implications of the latest tariffs—including the "reciprocal" variety—and what challenges do they present to the pharma supply chain?
Lanton: Reciprocal tariffs could create significant disruptions in the supply chain and many commercial contracts. I don’t want to get overly technical, but many contracts include clauses that activate certain procedures or nullify agreements when events beyond a party’s control occur—such as embargoes or excessive tariffs. These clauses will become increasingly relevant as they may need to address the impact of excessive tariffs. Supply chain disruptions could arise at any moment, particularly with raw materials, which are frequently sourced from overseas.
Some people may have different opinions, but in my view, these tariffs will negatively affect the supply chain and, ultimately, our economy at every level. Prescription drug costs will likely rise significantly as a result.
Unfortunately, Congress has granted broad authority to the executive branch through legislation. Specific laws that come to mind include the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977. These laws delegate power to the president to adjust tariffs in response to specific circumstances, such as national security concerns or trade negotiations, without requiring new congressional approval. Because of this, the president holds significant control over tariffs, and unless Congress enacts new legislation to curtail this power, the courts have limited options to intervene.
At this point, I’m not entirely sure how the power dynamic will unfold. It used to be that Congress and the president shared these responsibilities, but now, we have to wait and see. Tariffs could be an experiment. That seemed to be the case during this administration’s previous term—some tariffs led to negative consequences, while others remained in place.
Full Interview Summary: The future of NIH-funded research is facing significant uncertainty due to changes in funding policies under the new administration. A major issue is the reduction of indirect cost reimbursements, which cover administrative, regulatory, and overhead expenses, from 50% to 15%. This shift, currently halted by legal challenges, threatens research institutions’ financial stability. Additionally, a freeze on grant proposal reviews via the Federal Register has further complicated NIH’s funding process, requiring researchers to seek alternative funding sources, primarily from the private sector. However, this shift could create a highly competitive environment, potentially stalling critical research in areas like cancer and sickle cell disease.
Political challenges, including diversity-related restrictions, further complicate clinical trials. Researchers may now need to approach trial design with a more conservative lens, which could hinder studies focused on minority populations and vaccine development. If funding and regulatory barriers persist, the U.S. risks losing scientific talent to more research-friendly environments in the EU and Asia.
While some court rulings have temporarily allowed NIH to continue research funding, long-term solutions would require Congressional action. However, given the current partisan landscape, legislative intervention to secure NIH funding against political interference appears unlikely. If the administration defies court rulings, it could create a constitutional crisis, undermining the checks and balances of the federal government.
Beyond NIH, new reciprocal tariffs could disrupt the pharmaceutical supply chain, particularly for raw materials sourced internationally. Many commercial contracts include clauses that could be triggered, nullifying agreements and exacerbating supply shortages. Given the executive branch’s broad authority over trade policy, tariff changes could increase prescription drug costs and create economic instability. With Congress unlikely to reclaim tariff-setting power soon, the full impact remains uncertain, necessitating a “wait and see” approach.
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